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Saturday, 22 October 2011

Market overview and trading ideas

Markets were mainly driven by Q3 earning season figures which were generally better than expected and the rescue package for the EU where people bet and hope on a positive outcome. Markets turned slightly bullish. However I expect that a lot of the hope is already priced in the markets. EU rescue won't be fixed in the next meeting it will be a rocky road.
Main stock indices:
DAX is moving between the main resistance and the 50d MA. I'm expecting a retesting of the 50d MA before we can move higher.
SP500 made it above this main resistance. A move up to the SHS neckline which is equal to the 200d MA is possible but up side is limited. I also expect a retest of the 50d MAs.
China: Shanghai Index is sitting on the 2010 low and could find a support here. Apart from that no reversal pattern yet.
Further trading ideas:
Gold: I'm expecting GLD to hit it's support at around 156.5 before it probably goes further down to test it's 200d MAs.
TBT: I expext TBT to break it's short term resistance and hit it's main trends in the mid term
Shorts: VNO rising wedge:
Long: NOK; after breaking the resistance the first goal would be around 7.10

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